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CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.The yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds rose to 4.316% after the auction results were announced, the highest level since November 26th.The Israeli army said that the Hamas stronghold was not attacked by humanitarian vehicles. On the 12th local time, the Israel Defense Forces issued a statement saying that the Israeli army had "targeted" the two strongholds of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) militants in the south of the Gaza Strip the night before. The statement accused Hamas militants of moving along the route of transporting humanitarian aid in the south of the Gaza Strip, saying that the purpose of the Israeli army's actions was to make humanitarian aid safely reach the residents in the Gaza Strip. The statement stressed that the Israeli army did not attack the humanitarian aid truck. The official Palestinian news agency "Wafa" said on the 12th that Israeli forces bombed Rafah in the southern Gaza, killing 13 people. The medical staff in Rafah said that these people were protecting the aid trucks that arrived in the city, but they were attacked by Israeli troops.

At least 9 people were killed and 6 people were missing when a refugee ship sank in the waters off Tunisia. On the 12th local time, a refugee ship sank in the waters off Tunisia. Subsequently, the Tunisia Coast Guard found nine bodies and six others were missing. According to the description of the survivors, the ship was carrying at least 42 people, all from sub-Saharan African countries, when the ship broke down and entered the water due to bad weather. After the incident, the coast guard has rescued at least 27 people on board, and the search and rescue operation for missing persons is still going on.UBS reduced ExxonMobil's target price from $149.00 to $147.00.U.S. National Security Adviser Sullivan said that the Israeli elimination of Hamas leaders will also help promote the ceasefire negotiations to achieve results.

Sources: A few ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Three sources said that several ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates more sharply on Thursday, and they were worried that the new US tariffs would hinder economic growth. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, and opened the door for more easing policies, as the euro zone economy was dragged down by domestic political instability and the threat of a new round of trade war in the United States. However, due to the low forecast of inflation and economic growth, about five of the 26 members of the official Committee initially advocated a 50 basis point interest rate cut. In particular, they pointed out that if the incoming Trump administration imposes new tariffs on the EU, the growth of economic output next year may be lower than the 1.1% expected by the European Central Bank. A small number of policy makers who called for greater interest rate cuts quickly gave in, adding that given the current uncertainty, people are reluctant to make a hasty decision.Canada Post withdrew the dismissal of the strikers. The strike continued. On the 11th local time, the trade union representing the Canadian postal workers issued a statement late at night, saying that under the mediation of the Industrial Relations Committee, a settlement agreement had been reached with Canada Post on the dismissal of the previous strikers, and Canada Post would withdraw their dismissal. However, Canada Post said that according to the terms of the settlement agreement, the company reserves the right to make personnel adjustments if necessary in the future. On November 28th, local time, the trade union representing the postal workers in Canada said in a notice sent to its members that since the postal workers went on strike, Canada Post Company has been dismissing striking employees. Up to now, the Canada Post strike has lasted for four weeks, and there is still no sign of ending.Southeast Asian Stock Market | On Thursday (December 12), the Vietnam Stock Exchange index closed down 0.12% at 1267.35 points. Vietnam Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange /VN 30 Index closed down 0.07% at 1335.55 points.